A strengthening area of low pressure, a nor’easter, is spinning off the New Jersey coast this evening. While coastal areas of the Northeast and Mid Atlantic states continue the brunt of the storm with strong winds, rain and even heavy snow here in central New York we will just be spectators to this storm. We expect to be on the northwestern fringe of the cloud shield from the storm with any precipitation well to the southeast of Syracuse.
The Nor’easter will weaken and track to the northeast tomorrow. We are likely to start the day with clouds but as the storm pulls away, these clouds will begin to thin. Even though there will be sunshine tomorrow and temperatures will be similar to today, a brisk northerly wind is going to make it feel colder. The wind will slacken off Friday as high pressure tries to build in from the south and temperatures will end up seasonable for mid November.
Thereafter, we’ll turn noticeably warmer. Though, before we get into the warmth, it looks like we will get into a period of cloud cover. This is not unusual as the warmer air initially rises over the cooler air near the ground. This process, rising air, causes clouds and sometimes precipitation. We think this will happen on Saturday causing more clouds than sun, and while we expect a largely dry day we cannot entirely rule out a spotty light shower or sprinkles.
The leading edge to the warm, a warm front, will push to our north Saturday night. That will put us solidly in an unseasonably warm air mass for Sunday and Monday along with a brisk south-southwesterly breeze. No real change to this part of the forecast as we think temperatures will be at or above 60 degrees.