A deepening area of low pressure heading across Lake Superior this afternoon will drag a cold front through central New York by later in the day. As that front approaches, there will be an increase in showers over the region. Luckily, by then, temperatures will be well above freezing so there won’t be a threat for mixed precipitation.
Behind the cold front, more seasonable air will filter back into Central New York on a gusty west wind allowing for rain showers to change to snow showers overnight. Any accumulations should be light, though the Tug Hill region may see upwards of 3”+ by morning.
For tomorrow, the cold front is forecast to be well east of the region over the Atlantic Ocean with its associated low pressure center positioned north of Montreal. Consequently, brisk west to west-northwest winds moving over Lake Ontario will help produce flurries and snow showers. Accumulations, generally speaking, should be light if at all.
By in large, relatively quiet weather is on tap for much of the remainder of the week including Valentine’s Day. By Friday, there are indications a cold front may bring a threat for snow showers to the region. Thereafter, the weather becomes fairly uncertain. Going back to last week, computer models were hinting at the threat for a rather significant East Coast storm for the upcoming weekend. However, this scenario was something that was not indicated regularly. Most recently, some computer models have started to indicate this potential. Bottom line: be sure to check back for updates regarding the weekend forecast.