A weak cold front has moved through central New York, although the temperatures today likely won’t be much cooler than what we would expect for mid December. We’re looking at a day mainly in the upper 30s to near 40°.
While our weather will be quiet through Saturday, we will continue to track a storm system coming out of the Plains states. This storm will move east and northeast to a position somewhere in the lower Great Lakes region by Sunday. This will result in an increase in cloud cover Saturday night with rain or a wintry mix developing. Since low pressure is weakening as it approaches, we think the precipitation for us will be generally light in nature Saturday night and Sunday. Additionally, the low would head north into Canada Monday which may draw milder air into the region.
The next in a series of storm systems will start to impact central New York Monday night into Tuesday. Our computer models over the last couple of days have suggested a number of different solutions as to how this system will unfold. Right now, it looks like one low will track north into western New York by Tuesday morning. This should initially keep us mild with rain the likely precipitation type. By later in the day, however, a secondary low will try to form somewhere near the southern New England coast. If that were to happen we could see a change in our precipitation from rain to snow.