We’ve been continuing to monitor a small but potent upper level disturbance passing over central New York today. This system is responsible for the widespread snow showers that we will continue to see through the weekend’s finish. As winds become more northwesterly through the evening, some lake enhancement of snow showers is expected along with possible heavier bursts of snow causing reduced visibility at times.
High pressure will create a nice break for us come Monday after light morning snow comes to a close. We may even see some sunshine on Monday and early Tuesday! From there though, the Storm Team will shift their gaze towards the Mississippi Valley where a potent low pressure system will be brewing. It will have plenty of moisture to work with as it glides up the Appalachians through Tuesday, increasing our cloud cover here in central New York and bringing a severe weather threat to the Southeast US. By Tuesday after sunset we should see activity arriving.
It’s still a bit unclear as to how precipitation will fall late Tuesday and into early Wednesday. Right now computer models suggest a range of possibilities, but several point to a threat for freezing rain at the onset before a change over to a wintry mix of rain and wet snow.
The atmosphere will become blocked up for the middle to the end of the work week, meaning that the low pressure won’t be able to escape out to sea. For us, that means a messy stretch of rain and snow, possibly until the first couple days of March.